As the price of necessities such as gasoline have continued to climb, the economic mood remains negative as illustrated most recently by the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index, which declined yet again from 62.8 points in April to 57.2 points in May. This was an overall decline of more than 47 percent from the 108.5 points reported in May of 2007.
Household budgets already stretched precariously thin during recent months, were met on Sunday with another milestone -- record breaking gasoline prices. The American Automobile Association (AAA) announced that the average price of gasoline nationwide reached $4 a gallon for the first time in history. Undoubtedly the soaring price of gas, which has risen 29 percent over the past year, has done its part in dampening consumer sentiment.
This consumer pessimism is hard to argue with and signal consumers have remained challenged by the broader economic downturn. Now with the average price of gasoline in the U.S. at $4.00 a gallon and spending on fuel accounting for more than 6 percent of wage income, the fear that has come front and center is the risk of declining consumer spending as confidence plummets.
Fears of slowed spending are understandable with the unemployment rate now standing at 5.5 percent and as 54 percent of consumers surveyed by the Discover Spending Monitor saying their personal finances are getting worse ("Discover U.S. Spending Monitor Rises 1.4 Points in May," June 4). Most telling, 42 percent of respondents reported putting less into saving as a response to high fuel costs, while 48 percent of respondents planned to spend less on discretionary purchases, up five points over the last three months.
Tightened budgets and a heightened awareness of one’s financial burdens will inevitably produce a difficult recovery environment for collectors, but to what extent will the severity of this slowdown be felt in accounts receivable management and for how long, remain to be seen.
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Comments
Comment from Paul Strassels on June 10, 2008 at 12:02PM EST
While your analysis is reasonably accurate, you have failed to grasp the bigger picture. Consumer spending is not declining, it is simply being redirected. Your stats on reductions in savings rates and discretionary purchasing are inconclusive at best, and probably disassociated facts. Substantially higher fuel prices are affecting everything from real estate prices (more rural homes are losing value at a faster pace than those located close to work and shopping)to vehicle purchases. Foreclosures are soaring, resulting in increased homelessness and all the social ills associated with that event. The cost of flying has made that endeavor something almost elitist. The gap continues to widen between those who are finally well-off and those who are not. When significant numbers of people are being dislocated, cannot afford fuel to get to work or food to feed there families, the nation as well know it will begin its slide into chaos, riots, and anarchy. The price of fuel is only one in a long list of problems, which when taken together lead to conclusions that most do not even want to contemplate
Comment from FrankV on June 11, 2008 at 8:12PM EST
I live in Perth Western Australia. The problems you highlight are not yours alone, they are world-wide. We pay AUD1.55 per litre for gasoline. In Europe they pay EUR1.50. The cost of flying is and always has been prohihbitive in Australia. I can fly to Singapore and stay for a week cheaper than I can fly to Sydney and back, and flying to the north of Western Australia is even mor expensive, but we live with it. If as much effort was put into resolving the worlds problems as is put into whinging about them, then perhaps we would all be better off.